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"commentText": "\"Ethiopia has no way to respond to the attacks\"... Are you kidding. They could cut off the water all together that floods down the river and flood Ethiopia. Imagine if Ethiopia used the water from the Nile. I doubt it would be a poor country if it did so. It could probably grow endless crops. Yet on the TV we see people singing we are the world and sending bags of food to poor Ethiopia. You have to as yourself than is Ethiopia really poor?
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"commentText": "D Keys book Catastrophe 550 AD notes the developed grain growing regions of the eastern coast of Africa. Exports went through the Red Sea to Rome and even the west coast of the British Isles then Authurian Wales. This extensive trade was destroyed by plague and reduced the grain growers to cattle farmers. Axum in Ethiopia attests to a high level of attainment.
Capitalistic industrial development allowed for by the GERD dam has already brought death to 160 people whose farmland ringing Addis Ababa now targeted for industry. WIKI states Lake Tana is now 60 feet lower than traditional times.
To imagine this site as the next global war over water is all too easy. With the Syrian war displaying military aircraft and drones, how cannot this contested water source not be the next war?
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"commentText": "isn't that sad to read an opinion from international media as if there is contention still between Egypt and Ethiopia.....perhaps Ethiopia Sudan and Egypt walk the walk with such pride and prosperity with tall Sub-Saharan Countries. Peace! ",
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"commentText": "The Nile is for Ethiopia and Kenya. The rest have to pay for the water. ",
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"commentText": "A fair coverage of historical facts and political realities. Here are a couple of critics, if I may, that the Dam is not just 19 miles from the Sudan border (it might at least be more than a hundred miles) and what the author referred to as \"the great unknown\" namely the impact on the ecosystem and on those so-called fishing communities is almost an irrelevant issue concerning the Dam simply because there are no fishing communities in the region and in a region primarily over used in traditional farming systems and extremely overpopulated ecosystem disruption because of the dam is out of the question.\r\n\r\nThe two regimes both in Ethiopia and Egypt have no democratic mandates is true and even the entire crux of the matter lies there. Talking about the use of force or in a language akin to it even before any incident of that sort occurs seems to be a bit of putting the cart before the horse and perhaps a bit inflammatory. However, the gravity of the issue for the future in international relations as well as regionally is something to be underlined, as the author points out. I hope to play a scholarly a part in it eventually.",
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"commentText": "Some of the points mentioned are just cheap. To mention a few\r\n1. Egyptian airstrike- first of all that is the rarest of all the option Egypt could make. Furthermore, i don't think the Egyptian Air force has the capability to come all the way to Ethiopia and attack the GERD\r\n2. For centuries, Muslim Egypt supplied the head of Ethiopia’s Orthodox Church, a state religion until the 1974 revolution. The imperial regime of Haile Selassie found itself under political pressure to leave the centuries-old arrangement intact following the 1959 Nile accord that excluded Ethiopia- This comes out of a completely ill-informed mind. The change for the mentioned arrangement has its own complicated history not because of the 1959 agreement. Let's not relate what is unrelated.",
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"commentText": "What a great article:) And an oromo leader who happens to be a not a community college but a real university professor wrote it. St. Mary's University of Minnesota, we see what great teachers you have there educating the future leader of America.",
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"commentText": "A supposed oromo leader...A leader of people this ignorant....You don't have to look any further than Eritrea Mr. Dear leader to know that dividing people is not the way to go. You are an Ethiopian and when you're this biased against your own people and country it makes you look very small.......And you happen to be a professor of some sort.......Really??",
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"commentText": "Evenif the article doesn't worth reading as it is biased and doesn't make any sense to me ,let me say something for my fellow Ethiopian's who are in West and also within Ethiopia. Untill recent times, we were known for our famine issues which is not what the nature has brought to us,rather it is something which comes to us due to lack of good governance.Now, we are trying to get back to the track and we have seen the light on the other side of the tunnel. So please refrain from any act that will stand b/n us and the light that we saw on the other side. We trust in God ,not on our military force only. We don't care what kind of military weapon Egypt has,but we have a determination which fought back a well equipped Italy. I am not saying,we should fight, but if the option is war,we know what to do. There is a saying in Afan oromo" Dog barks from where it gets its food" ,so those who are feed by Egypt let you bark from that side, but we are Ethiopians and we can defend our country. Look at the TV program of Egypt, they show starved and famine striked black African's,while we feed them through Nile. ",
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"commentText": "well said,,,,,!!!!!!!!!!!! I appreciate your analysis Simale!",
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"commentText": "Where does the rain fall the rain on Ethiopia are the main source of the waters of the Nile\nEthiopia is Africa next giant.\nEthiopia will rise and lead Africa to its Renaissance\nAn west Africa wo looks at Ethiopia and say We Africa love you and yes We are the World of Strength\nAll those north African and Egypt realize where their future is They neglected sub-Africa They are racist and now time has come to take responsibility.\nSimale thank you!",
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"commentText": "Are you sure the threats are internal rather than external? Or is the CIA along with Wall Street meddling in internal affairs again? Why western countries would refuse to help Egypt with the Aswan Damn project forcing Egypt to turn to the Soviets baffles me...this is my understanding if I remember history correctly. Egypt would have taken a different path in development providing more employment and the US would have a developing country to export to. Maybe I am naïve about "guerilla capitalism" letting multi-nationals compete for the most bananas on the tree.",
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"commentText": "Interesting article. I must disagree with some of your points, though. You stated that it is not in Ethiopia's long-term best interest to antagonize Egypt. I think it is the other way around. Egypt seems to be at its dusk of international popularity while Ethiopia is on a nice growth trajectory with increasing political clout. In addition, you stated that Egypt might take military action to destroy the dam, but Ethiopia might not be able to respond in kind. Several paragraphs above this statement, you wrote that Ethiopia defeated militarily better-equipped Egypt and Italy. What makes you think that one of the largest militaries in Africa cannot defeat Egypt again? In fact, the Ethiopian military might just walk over there since, as you stated, Sudan has been diplomatically won over. Your article is clearly Egypt-biased, but that doesn't surprise me because you are a Middle Eastern news organization. However, you could impress your non-Middle Eastern readers by being more neutral. ",
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"commentText": "why do you think Ethiopia prefers to build large dam than subsequent small ones? The answer is short and simple.You know Tekeze produces 450 mw. the construction consumed around 4 billion dollars.But the new dam produce 6000 mw with a cost of near to 5 billion dollars.Have you got the difference mr writer.Any way building anything......whatever we like is our natural right.Dear foolish Egyptian leaders,you will do nothing against Ethiopia,Never again.Thanks to our smart leader,the late pm Meles Zenawi,the sun is rising here.No one can deter the long journey",
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"commentText": "the writer is a real loser, he is living in western world and doing his best to distablise his country,how shame is that to see people who seem educated and using their knowledge this way!??? there are same fellow ethiopian brothers living abroad and working hard to distablise their own country, we know when people who left their country come back to their country as diaspora to contribute some in the development of their country, but such ill intention people are still living on this planet for they have no contribution to peace,development of one nation. i dare to call them terrorist ( educated one!) , who said terrorist is some one who has a bomb in his hand??? as long as they use their knowledge for the destruction of one group or nation, a people who are letirate and playing such roles of destiblising one nation should be called terrorist too. ",
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"commentText": "you r somewhat servant.Ethiopians who live in America do not want to destabilize their own country. you always hear news from etv which is dirty media.",
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"commentText": "I do not think Egyptians are that fool. Numbers do not lie, any one with knowledge of hydrology, engineering will never doubt that the dam will affect the downstream flow. \r\n\r\nBut the world is full of crazy and lunatics, therefore it is always good to be prepared. \r\n\r\nIf a move is made by the Egyptians to stop or halt the dam by any force of destruction, first that will be the most sad part of history. Second, the consequence will burn those who lit the fire.\r\n\r\nI have no doubt that Ethiopia will win and put Egypt to rubble.",
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"commentText": "So you do not know history. ",
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"commentText": "I consider this article as one day biased stand of a person who is emotionally hurt by some reason. If some one has to write an article it should be realistic. Come on professor you are ethiopian by birth and you were suppose to know more about your country. Btw We are on the 20th century and no one is gona strike any one. I think they both know each other through history. ",
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"commentText": "This is one of the most researched article on this topic. The author, despite the fact that he holds grudge of some sort couldn't have done a better ' objective analysis' of this ' hot potato'. The Egyptians will have to come to ' their senses' and approach it in a pragmatic way and take steps to conserve the water ' delivered free of charge' by Ethiopian rivers. Have they tried to implement some of the methods of the Israeli farmers, there wouldn't be any talk about ' negative' consequence. Instead, Egyptians are cultivating water- thirsty commodities in the middle of the Sahara. Water is supplied to anyone almost free of charge, be it for ' rational use' or for golf courses or swimming pools. They want to keep the status quo and are demanding ever more water from the Nile. This is outrageous and can't continue. \r\n\r\nEgypt has to abide by the New treaty which stipulates ' fair and equitable share'. signed by the Nile states The upper nile states will meet it more than half way . They wish it no harm and they sure don't have any intent on starving the Egyptians. But if and when they wish to attack the Dam, all hell will break loose. There will be repercussions and dire consequence for Egyptians. If General Sisi,who is sure to be the next president of this renegade State thinks along the way of his predecessors, it will be a ' travesty' for the future will be bleak for the average Egyptians. Ethiopians will not sit idly if and when their dam is attacked, mark my words! \r\n\r\n",
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"commentText": "And we the in Kenya will stand with Ethiopia......and the rest too!",
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"commentText": "It is amazing how a supposed "Oromo leader" thinks Oromo people will be spared from his "Egyptian air strike" which he seems to make a big fuss of....he either doesn't know the geography and demography of the region or he is just an out right opportunist only interested in pursuing his Islamist Agenda at the expense of Oromo people half of whom are in-fact Christians....."Ethiopia does not have the means to respond" really? as far as we know it is Egyptians and their lap-dogs such as this so called "Oromo leader" who are talking while Ethiopia is working....\r\n\r\n",
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"commentText": "Dear Elias please do not try to differentiate one religion from the other. All will stand for their beloved country. Also be aware that there is no Islamic agenda that is against Ethiopia. If you need to know Quran says to all specially to Arabs \"never try to hurt Habesha\". So All Ethiopians have the protection of Allah as their movements have rationales behind. Any we Ethiopians are trying to bring a win-win situation. But this does not mean we are hardly able to defend our country. We can stand as one within only few minutes to defend our selves. Be ware that we defeated Italy, Turkey and Egypt several times. Please try to read History. ",
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"commentText": "The truth of the matter is, Egyptian leaders know that Egypt has no viable way out of this matter except for negotiated compromise. But they are afraid telling the only options candidly to some war mongering political and scholarly elites...for fear that they will cry foul and cause political fallout. In time, however, they will have to tell the truth...that they can do nothing about it except wage proxy war. Ethiopia knows what Egyptian politicians are capable of in that regard. Ethiopia has taken well over a decade preparing for this scenario...it did't happen over a night. It has been working aggressively bringing the upper riparian countries under a new agreement, CFA, which was signed by the majority of them and waiting for ratification in some countries. Ethiopia is proceeding business as usual with Nile Basin Initiative and Eastern Nile Technical Regional Office (ENTRO) activities without Egypt, and with a new member, South Sudan. All in all, Ethiopia is legally, morally, and politically on the upper hand on the case of the Nile. If Egypt doesn't want to sign the CFA agreement or start negotiate on it, it will not have the legal ground to justify any cause it might have. But, sooner or later, darling of the West, Egypt will realize that it has been spoiled over the Nile water so bad that it didn't try to get a better deal out of the upstream projects. They have taken a ridiculous route of comparing Egypt's only one river, the Nile, against Ethiopia's numerous rivers as a means to justify their absolute right. Here in Ethiopia, we know that Egypt's cry is not about water shortage, it's about regional dominance. They don't like to see a competitive and more assertive neighbor in the South. Time and after, Egypt have followed, and following to this day, that same mentality.\r\nIf water shortage is an issue, why don't they stop Nile from flowing freely to the Mediterranean ocean? Turning back the water though channels at the very end of the delta can mean they will have abundant of it... They know it is easily doable...but that plan will not keep others poor and incompetent, alas!",
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"commentText": "Egypt is a backward state, ruled by a power hungry corrupt junta. Any attack on Ethiopia must be treated as an attack on the rest of Africa. Libya found water underground, Israel manages just fine, the corrupt junta is Egypt must not be allowed to use colonial error treaties that do not have any merit . There are no British colonies in Africa today. ",
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"commentText": "Exactly .....an attack on Ethiopia means an attack on the rest (real Africa)......the riparian states including Kenya are with Ethiopia period!!!",
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"commentText": "Professor Hussein, you have a hidden agenda...and your article tries to placate both sides-won't happen...\r\n\r\n" Facing water shortages amid a growing population, Egypt has actually been asking to increase its share of the Nile waters to 95 percent." This is foolish talk and not worthy of your written comments. All nations must learn to manage water, as you well know. We in California are learning this fast.\r\n\r\nEthiopia is progressing rapidly in many areas as evidenced by China, Turkey, India and other nations sending their leaders and businessmen to visit and start factories. General Electric will bring a host of 'support' companies to the enterprise. Are you afraid of modernization?\r\n\r\nDo not stir up ethnic problems...America had a vegetable soup of different ethnic groups that hated others decades ago (look at West Side Story)...but the variety is our strength now...I have friends of many ethnic groups and enjoy them all...perhaps you need to leave the cold of Minnesota and come to California to broaden your wisdom...the 80 languages in Ethiopia will blend to form a leader for Africa...it has begun...\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n ",
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"commentText": "God owns the universe, sky, water and earth. He gives to mankind for good stewardship. If rain falls on Ethiopia, it is for a reason. Thus, the people of Ethiopia are to use the water for good which includes feeding their citizens. God would also like Ethiopia to share their resources with neighbors. Yet, some neighbors feel that water belongs to them without rain...a very selfish idea. For many years, Egypt has taken a majority of water when Ethiopians have had starvation. Egypt did not help with the water or food as a good neighbor should...does Egypt owe water of past decades to Ethiopia(yes)? Will Egypt help the families of young orphans whose parents died of starvation? I think not...Egypt is still seeing water flow in the Nile...time for Egypt the manage their water according to modern methods...less talk and more management action...the dam's power will allow for desalination of sea water and power to pump this fresh water over the mountains to irrigate much of Northern Africa, thus providing food and jobs to thousands...Kenya can share in this as they too have geothermal power to benefit mankind...we are at the beginning of a new era of peace and prosperity, if greed does not prevail...Egypt can use wind turbines to power their desalination plants near their sea water coasts for unlimited fresh water, if needed...so also can Somalia and other nations with ocean frontage...open your eyes to the vast potential now available with technology...old, non valid, rules were established by colonial greed masters, not by the scientific community...we can go to the moon and further, thus we can manage water which is 70% of the earth's surface.\r\nPS. We in America will not support Egypt in an attack on Ethiopian soil...\r\n\r\n",
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"commentText": "There will be no war. Egyptians are not that foolish.",
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"commentText": "Why are people writing articles from a long distance with out making even the slightest effort to crosscheck the facts. I do not think the author has researched the case enough. I can see that he has been away from home for a very long time. First of all, his description of Ethiopia's political system is at best malicious. Second, he doesn't have any clue about what it takes to launch a war. The fact of the matter is there is no legitimate and justified cause for the two countries to engage in upfront confrontation. Egypt, for that matter, doesn't have the capacity to launch an air strike as far as GERD. The other options, like working through Eritrea and "bandas", I think it is well noted. So, Dear author, there is no compromise or what so ever to be made by Ethiopia.",
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"commentText": "my friend, Eritrea is a forcefully forged entity trapped in it's own independence. let alone to influence the region their survival as a nation is at stake specially if they make a wrong calculation in regards to the Nile politics for the mare reason that every miscalculation will have it's own consequence..Otherwise they would have until now wanted to do what you suggested they would do. even then they could only add 5 million poor souls on top of the already 82 million Egyptian human resource and allowing their land to be used by Egypt would be tantamount to suicide...whatever they decide I don't think isn't going to be an easy decision for them to make, but of course they could help Egypt in terms of infiltrating Ethiopia and spreading divisive propaganda which they have been doing for almost a century any way..",
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"commentText": "So, Compromise offers the only way out for both and a durable peace built on a win-win replaces rancor over the Nile!",
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"commentText": "This article is the least biased I read from aljazeera.",
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"commentText": "it is not the problem of aljazeera, it is the author himself trying to run his own agenda, he is the leader for the oromo association some where as he presented himself, so those people are not diffirent from extremists who are runnign for baseless propoganda to spread hatred among the nation and distablise the country. the article is full of biased views and this is done porpusely, ignore it.",
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